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N Zealand Central Bank Keeps Rates Unchanged as Expected; Rising Inflation May Require Earlier Hikes
The N Zealand central bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25%, in line with market expectations. The central bank said it will continue to focus on ensuring that r...
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N Zealand Central Bank Keeps Rates Unchanged as Expected; Rising Inflation May Require Earlier Hikes
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The N Zealand central bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25%, in line with market expectations. The central bank said it will continue to focus on ensuring that rising costs do not lead to a pickup in medium-term inflation, while avoiding unnecessary economic volatility. Overall, it believes interest rates are highly likely to need to be raised earlier and by a greater magnitude than previously expected. The pace of rate hikes will depend on wage growth and economic activity, and their relative impact on medium-term inflationary pressures.

The central bank said the Middle East conflict is pushing up short-term inflation and weighing on economic activity. Inflation is expected to peak at 4.3% in 3Q26 and return to the midpoint of the 2% target by mid-2027. The central bank currently projects that interest rates will gradually rise to 3.3% over the medium term.

Following the rate decision, the New Zealand dollar rose 0.66% to 0.5875 against the USD. (mn/da)~

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